According to a survey on voting intentions for the 2025 legislative elections, the political party La Libertad Avanza leads with 33.9%, followed by Kirchnerism with 21.2%. This competition unfolds in a context where the potential candidacy of Cristina Kirchner in the province of Buenos Aires becomes crucial. The confrontation between the government and Kirchnerism intensifies, with figures like Javier Milei and Cristina Kirchner in leading roles. The PRO party sits in third place with 9%, while other political forces obtain lower percentages. With 18.1% of respondents as undecided, the contest in Buenos Aires is considered vital for the country's political future.
Analysts predict that an adverse result in these elections could unleash a political and economic crisis if markets interpret a possible return of Kirchnerism in 2027. Tensions between Cristina Kirchner and Axel Kicillof become more evident, especially after a Pulso Research survey positions La Libertad Avanza as the strongest political force in Buenos Aires. Although Axel Kicillof is considering unlinking the provincial election from the national one, this survey raises alarms for both leaders.
In electoral projections, significant data highlights the approval and disapproval of key political figures. Javier Milei has a 42.5% disapproval rate compared to 50.9% for Kicillof. In terms of recognition, Cristina Kirchner leads with 30.6%, while Kicillof reaches only 10.7%. Javier Milei has a 52.7% approval rating contrasted with the 44.3% support that Kicillof receives in his administration. This data reflects a complex scenario in Argentina's political sphere heading towards the 2025 elections.
